{"meta":{"title":"Output variability: single plant, greedy fleet, optimized fleet (2015)","units":"GW per plant (fleet series = fleet GW / 120, capped at the 0.8333 GW per-plant share of the 100 GW target)","source":"UC Berkeley analysis","basis":"raw","notes":"Daily aggregation of three hourly 2015 series: the single plant as a daily mean, the two fleet series as daily MINIMUM (the story is how low the fleet goes). The published figure overlays the raw 8,760-hour traces. Single plant = median performer by availability (column 117). Note the figure title says 'variability' but plots raw traces \u2014 it is not a CV or a percentile band. hours_at_target_pct counts hours with fleet output >= 100 GW within 1e-6 GW; the optimized dispatch lands on exactly 100 GW, so a strict >= test drops it to 80% on floating-point noise alone."},"data":{"year":2015,"days":365,"n_plants":120,"target_per_plant_gw":0.8333,"month_start_days":[0,31,59,90,120,151,181,212,243,273,304,334],"months":["Jan","Feb","Mar","Apr","May","Jun","Jul","Aug","Sep","Oct","Nov","Dec"],"single_plant":{"column":117,"avail_hours":8118,"avail_pct":92.67,"mean_gw":0.94,"daily_mean":[0.917,0.814,0.86,1.0,0.968,0.956,0.917,1.0,0.958,0.905,0.875,0.815,0.958,0.744,0.738,0.799,0.776,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.875,0.802,0.681,0.946,0.991,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.917,1.0,0.905,0.741,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.917,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.917,0.917,0.958,0.917,0.917,0.936,0.679,0.958,0.958,0.702,0.667,0.917,1.0,0.819,0.267,0.667,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.917,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.996,0.916,0.958,0.917,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.917,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.917,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.917,1.0,0.84,0.958,0.958,0.958,0.958,0.717,1.0,0.917,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.875,0.917,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.917,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.899,1.0,0.798,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.875,0.917,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.75,0.529,0.716,0.918,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.878,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.898,0.826,0.69,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.917,0.792,0.916,0.917,0.917,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.843,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.57,0.435,0.684,0.794,0.653,0.624,0.762,0.787,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.917,0.958,1.0,0.742,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.917,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.875,1.0,0.875,1.0,0.917,0.917,1.0,0.875,0.958,0.958,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.813,0.348,0.682,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.917,0.875,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,1.0,0.917,1.0,1.0,0.917,0.958,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.958,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.955,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.917,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.917,1.0,0.958,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.833,0.92,0.953,0.958,0.994,0.925,0.917,1.0,1.0,0.958,0.996,0.998,0.953,0.972,0.983,0.966,0.997,0.957,1.0,0.981,0.917,0.958,0.994,0.997,0.998,0.958,0.925,0.95,1.0,0.856,0.95,0.913,0.958,1.0,0.958,0.955,1.0,0.995,0.958,0.917,0.958,0.989,0.958,1.0,0.917,0.925,1.0,0.958,0.958,0.916,0.958]},"greedy_fleet":{"daily_min":[0.833,0.72,0.663,0.709,0.567,0.833,0.833,0.776,0.833,0.814,0.833,0.786,0.833,0.75,0.552,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.792,0.783,0.604,0.59,0.776,0.784,0.824,0.833,0.817,0.779,0.787,0.765,0.833,0.833,0.61,0.817,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.777,0.666,0.814,0.833,0.833,0.731,0.595,0.747,0.752,0.813,0.555,0.441,0.65,0.833,0.712,0.82,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.634,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.825,0.833,0.786,0.792,0.832,0.686,0.833,0.747,0.8,0.733,0.829,0.828,0.803,0.77,0.829,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.771,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.798,0.759,0.823,0.833,0.798,0.803,0.833,0.833,0.767,0.76,0.833,0.833,0.82,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.789,0.833,0.833,0.758,0.615,0.705,0.83,0.795,0.803,0.75,0.78,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.768,0.792,0.833,0.809,0.777,0.765,0.808,0.791,0.704,0.78,0.833,0.833,0.82,0.722,0.783,0.505,0.411,0.501,0.682,0.688,0.643,0.603,0.628,0.638,0.677,0.799,0.753,0.791,0.749,0.717,0.677,0.603,0.608,0.776,0.706,0.833,0.833,0.769,0.789,0.671,0.832,0.792,0.779,0.811,0.558,0.683,0.72,0.587,0.776,0.833,0.833,0.737,0.6,0.75,0.761,0.729,0.591,0.604,0.676,0.544,0.589,0.669,0.641,0.543,0.457,0.739,0.623,0.529,0.348,0.443,0.794,0.805,0.751,0.665,0.803,0.755,0.745,0.826,0.789,0.764,0.485,0.74,0.794,0.666,0.744,0.737,0.683,0.67,0.667,0.625,0.675,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.78,0.754,0.762,0.693,0.667,0.669,0.741,0.727,0.725,0.785,0.772,0.833,0.793,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.794,0.833,0.833,0.789,0.805,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.639,0.497,0.362,0.456,0.588,0.675,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.796,0.739,0.833,0.756,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.827,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.829,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.808,0.764,0.832,0.833,0.833,0.832,0.686,0.783,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.695,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.783,0.721,0.592,0.69,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.811,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.793,0.787,0.778,0.683,0.722,0.833,0.833,0.798,0.801,0.486,0.621,0.548,0.571,0.631,0.671,0.719,0.808,0.833,0.774,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.791,0.761],"fleet_mean_gw":110.4,"fleet_min_gw":41.8,"fleet_max_gw":120.0,"hours_at_target_pct":87.2},"optimized_fleet":{"daily_min":[0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.724,0.694,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0.833,0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